Civilisation evolution
meeting the challenges of globalization
Developing the Global Strategy
New vision
regarding the article the “5 misunderstandings about culture evolution” by Joseph Henrich & Robert Boyd & Peter J. Richerson
http://www.sscnet.ucla.
in
the summary of that article the 5 cultural evolution problems
questions are posed. They are regarded. As a
result new strategy of Global development under the modern
social and communication conditions is being worked
out
Following the work the “5 misunderstanding about cultural
evolution” is the article by Robert Boyd “Why culture is
common but the cultural evolution is rare”.
http://www.sscnet.ucla.
This
problem is regarded here as well and some solution is offered
1.
Introduction
This essay was
written with the following goals.
1 to debunk many common superstitions on human societies
structure. Today this seems the most urgent issue because of the
post-industrial society structures transformation. This
transformation – ie globalisation - is due to the
science-technical progress. This progress is an integral part of
human evolution, so may be regarded as natural for this species.
So all the panic fears of globalisation would being proved to be
senseless, even harmful. This text is following the
neoliberalism, neopositivism and post-positivism traditions. So
works of such philosophers as Max Weber, Carl Popper, Ralf
Dahredorf, Darwin Cathedral by David Wilson and the God delusion
and the Egoistic gene by Richard Dawkins, among many other
mentioned here articles on cultural anthropology and social
economics researches were used as general background for the
essay.
2 the current globalisation started just about 200 or even 100
years ago - a period too short for a species could adopt to new
conditions. It requires requires significant social and
psychological changes. Otherwise it may cause many serious threads
due to unbalanced civilisation structure. However the further
species evolution would be possible only trough converting these
unbalanced structures. Some ways of overcoming this imbalance,
based on recent researches are being offered.
The role of the state of the United States is considered through
the vision of human evolution trends and trough the challenges of
the current economical crisis. This crisis had appeared as a
result of unbalanced social changes in the globalised World
One of the more specific features of H. Sapiens is its ability to
transform its environment according to its cognitive acts.
So it may be assumed that human evolution required the cognitive
analytical activity development. In its turn the environment,
which has been transformed according its activity, influence
the human behavior and hence his cognitive activity. That
point-circle is usually missed by the most of the observers.
This cognitive activity occurs on the basis of individualised
mind. For long time that mind individualisation was suppressed by
individuals economical dependence from other society members. This
united by economical conditions society, or commune were equal to
Hive of other social animals, such as bees or ants, ie the species
with very low cognitive individualisation level. This
cognitive activity applying to the environment resulted in
economical development. Quite recently, due to increased
individuals economical independence lead to hyperindividualisation
in big cities. These urban agglomerations are highly
unnatural, unnatural for any animals except for those Hive ones,
ie bees, termites, lemmings and so on.
This economical independence period has been too short for
human beings and their societies may have got adjusted to it. This
maladaptation results are to be overcome.
As one of the main obstacle to further human evolution the
lasting effects of Hive Psychology are regarded.
This type of behaviour of social animals - as Homo Sapiens is, -
has many manifestation. Human history analysis proves that in
strategical view it is usually highly destructive, while in
tactics view it often guarantee success. In more details the
concept of Hive psychology is regarded in this work of Mr Haidt, a
Professor in the Social Psychology area of the Department of
Psychology at the University of Virginia.
http://209.85.229.132/search?
Unfortunately, the main conflict of human evolution is that mind
individualisation contradicts its nature of social animal. For
any social animals the biotope carrying capacity is preserved due
to Hive psychology that switch on the trigger of the population
density autoregulation. That autoregulation cause the
density sharp decrease due to the bigger part of Hive
suiciding. Then the biotope gets restored and that cycle is
going on again. That behavour is controlled by instincts and
is intrinsic for those social animals.
So the species H.
sapiens is the social animal too. That means that that species is
to have some intrinsic mechanisms of population
density autoregulations. The residual effects of the Hive
psychology are the religion in their most basic
and mass commonly accepted ritual part as well as many other
superstitions and market-forming technologies are regarded as the
main obstacle to the Hive Psychology overcoming.
The Hive psychology is also promoted by wide pop-mass-media
development together with market formating technologies
This psychology positive tactic effect contradicts its destructive
effect in strategy. It causes as many modern panics so the current
economical crisis. This crisis is to be regarded as a sign of
transfer to the next evolutionary stage. That would need some
innovative approaches applying.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This essay was crested as a result of a long-term provoking and
interesting discussion with the PhD Student of the social sciences
department Rendt Gorter
www.rengt.gorter.gen.nz. I appreciate a lot the impulse he
gave to my thinking and especially the informational support he
provided me with.
That essay would not occur without my parents, physicists from the
Moscow State University. They formed my way of observing the life
around. That analysis got possible only grace to their efforts.
2. The crisis as a part of evolution.
the crisis lessons
are to contribute to further human evolution and to the Open
Society goals achieving.
Evolutionary look on the current crisis nature gives the
observer the key to its understanding as well as keys for Open
Society pattern introducing .
(Global Marshall plan )
Regarding the human history through the vision offered by
Wilson in his Darwin cathedral and in the Dawkins' God
delusion and Egoistic gene as well, the principles of
the Evolutionary economy get clearer. Applying its principles
to the human kind evolution may the observer able to
distinguish two main evolution branches. However it's argued
that in these two branches division the main role is
determined not by invariable biochemical structures but by the
more flexible information-carrying mediums. They
developed in course of the development mind
structure.
The nature of the
current crisis is regarded. Together with analyzing the
author' experience of common living in several "torn
civilizations", that analise gives the observer the
understanding of the crisis nature and the human evolution
trends. Transdisciplinary approach is
applied.
Open Society concept consideration is carried out. Transfer to
the Open Society requires the evolution mechanism transition
to the evolutionary new innovative level. The urge of
paradigma of social Darwinism as well as corresponding
changes in other social structures organizations are stated.
The intrinsic correlation between the most of the current
crisis, as the economical, so the military and so the
environmental ones, are regarded as a part of the
humanity transfer to new evolutionary stage.
Globalization is regarded as an integral and unavoidable part
of human evolution.
The globalisation leads to decreasing of any unique nation interests.
The role of social evolution for H. sapiens has been increased significantly. Currently as the evolutionary unit not just single specimen, but social pattern is considered. The reasons of it would be discussed further on. That causes the contradiction between this species individualisation evolution trend and the hive psychology.
Transfer of selection subjects to new levels. The interrelation of market economy and democracy is due to the marketing laisser-faire principle.
However at the
current stage it gets contradicting the democracy due to the
public got too affected by sophisticated market-forming
technologies. Though there is strong correlation
between steady, long-term democracy and people life-quality.
The correlation of democracy and life quality is proven by
statistic datas from the Prof Rosling report
http://www.gapminder.org/
Reasons of some societies evolution retarding – in other words
social development delaying - are regarded. The increasing
ideology antagonism as a mechanism of psychological compensation
is considered.
The traditional
mass ideology is reflected in the traditional
society hierarchy structure. Hence the autocratic power
organization tend sustaining itself through ideological
agitating the subdue peoples masses. Influencing each other
and meeting the development difficulties both parts – as
the power bodies so common masses,- cause numerous conflicts
all over the word as inside this autocratic societies, so at
the edges of there crashing with the democratic branch. These
conflicts are not obligatory military ones. However the
deepest effects they have on public psychology.
This rapture
increasing causes definitive isolation of two main
evolutionary branches and increase the competition struggle
between them.
However till now the
difference between them is determined by “mind organisation” of
the majority of the peoples belonging to certain social systems.
Till now the difference between those two branches is
determined not by “traditional” genes.
Traditional understanding
of social Darwinism was based on the DNA biochemical genes. The
phenotype features, which are determined by them, are very
evident and caused many racism theories appearing. However this
mechanism was proved to be invalid in human evolution The main
difference between these two branches is till now in human minds
organization, ie in socialising patterns. This organization
comes up as a result of interaction of many cultural-historical
factors, everyday life conditions and memes. Hence the culture
heredity is the main type of heredity that works for H.sapiens
now. That cultural heredity is more flexible and it is strongly
affected by surrounding social conditions and the influence of
Second Signal System through memes producing. Hence the memes are
playing the main role in it. To ensure the secure transfer to the
next evolution step the role of reasonable use of the memes and
social-cultural environment are to be increased.
However
nowadays globalisation meet severe resistance.
Partly it happens due to the strong indigenisation trend among the Developing Countries
The
international economical development makes life stile in
those societies somewhat better anyway. Especially that
improvement affect the upper socium level. Then the
out-of-date social structure of those countries resists the
possible social changes – as it was described above. Those
changes may threaten these structures very
existing. This resistance increases when being
facing economical difficulties. That causes the strong
and aggressive indigenization process, as a the most
vivid example - that causes the World-wide
ideological anti-American moods increase.
Here are data on the CDP /population shares changing in the
states with the higher indigenisation level now
Population %%
muslim countries
1900 - 4,2,
1920 - 2.4
1971 13.0
1990 13.4
1995 – 15.9
2010 – 17.9
2025 19.2
GDP share
1950 – 2.9
1970 – 4.6
1980 – 6.3
1992 – 11.0
these data of means
that it grew up only due to the oil price raise. - like it was
in Russia
these are changes in share of all the Orthodox countries in
general
GDPshare
till the 1980 16-17%
1982 – 6.2
these data are presented after the publication by
the head of Israel and Middle East Studies Unstitute Eugeny
Satanovsky
the negative internal correlation between religious orthodoxy
and economical well-being
http://www.epjournal.net/
That perfectly confirms Samuel Johns' words "PATRIOTISM - is
the last refuge
of the scoundrel" - hence all these economic development
problems and inter-system tension just increase the
nationalism trends
3. the urge of the transition to the next evolutionary
step.
The economical changes causes the sciences-technical progress
with the following demographical boom and changes in human
interrelations with its environment. Currently all these changes
together caused the deep rapture between generations.
Due to these changes
the life longevity in the developed counties increased
significanly. It is reflected on the charts of the
American researher Si Frumkin
http://www.sifrumkin.com/pdf/
These changes, presented in the article of Si Fumkin the Continent
of losers
http://www.sifrumkin.com/pdf/
Some ways of this hive psychology overcoming are put forward.
H. Sapiens's psychology intrinsic conflict – contradiction between
human mind individualisation trend and social species' Hive
psychology, ie that conflict between individual and hive mind is
intrinsic and thus it can bot be win completely. However the hive
psychology effect may be to some level decreased..
So the firsts question
would be does the social being limit individualised
consciousness?
First we should accept that human beings, H. sapiens specimens,
are some special animal, ie biological objects that are governed
by certain interrelations with the surrounding environment and
whose evolution is following the nearly same tends with other
biosphere species.
Like any other animal species H. Sapiens is consumer. Hence that forever eternal dispute what determine what, either social being determine consciousness or otherwise, may be solved by its consumer nature. After all that nature is primal.
In fact the interactions between social being and consciousness are very complicated and unequivocal. Some brilliant examples may be drawn to prove each of the statements. They strongly influence each other. However due to the consumer nature of all animals, it is determined by the productive forces development.
Like any other animal
human beings are looking for some ways of optimizing its “body
existing”, ie getting more various benefits while spending less
efforts. These instincts would be called further on
“behavioristic, self-preservation , or egoistic instincts”. They
are common for any biological species.
That specific for H. sapiens feature that distinguishes this
species from others and that ensures the increasing independence
from the environment, so this specific feature is individual
consciousness development, is the cognitive activity.
This feature have
been causing the following environment transformation. Then
the transformed environment affects back human behavior and
hence its cognitive activity .
This is the
crucial loop, usually missed by all the Book-smart
western intellectuals.
Finally this feature
had changed the very nature of evolution and that would be
discussed further.
Simultaneously the H.Sapiens specimens are social animals, so
they may live just in some societies, whose members are
bound by special intersocial relations. Other social
species of biosphere with either low-developed cognitive
activity or of with none of it at all, live in
specimens conglomerates or hives. These hives also experience
certain evolution with the similar evolution goals. These are
such animals, like bees, ants, termites, ie those living “in
hives”. Their units of evolution are mostly those hives. An
individual surviving or individual free will are
neglected. These animals' behaviour is described by “hive
psychology”.
It should be noted that some elements of hive psychology may
be met among many commune-living species with low
individualisation cognitive activity level.
Many researches show
that the level of intelligence and related with it
the level of education, decrease the influence of Hive
Psychology effect on the individual. Among these researches
those of Dr Haidt and Kanasowa
http://ibcsr.org/index.php?
So does it not means that the popular religiosity, that one that provide outmoded social systems resistance may be worked through in order to prevent the inner civilizations confrontation? Now that goal seems to be the most urgent.
In the year of 2005 in course of working out the sensitive USA
policy a book “Ethical realism: a vision of America's role
in the new Word” was created by Anatol Lieven and John
Hulsman. In that work attempt to work out the sensible position of
the USA government on the international politics
level.
However the Authors of Ethical realism drive the concept of Ethic right from Testament and the Christian religion authors such as St Augustin . Well, it sounds reasonable as long as we stay within the scope of the Protestant Ethics effect. The term Protestant Ethics was introduced by Max Weber in his work The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism .
Its influence
contributed a lot into the modern West World development.
However not just the West exists on our Earth, hence the
Protestant ethics would not work in Asia, or Africa, even in
Russia. Richard Dawkins in his God delusion had proved that
ethics – unlike the lifestyle and customs - could not be
deducted directly from any religion. That is confirmed
by the datas from the book of prof Jonatan Haidt
http://www.edge.org/3rd_
Then what would be
ethical not just for the Protestant-Catholic countries but for
all the mankind? We assume that ethical would be mechanisms
that ensure its surviving, would not they?
So if the mankind surviving is regarded, we should accept that
it should evolve according to the changing conditions too –
other way would be just its extinction.
That means that any stiffness would be otherwise immoral for it'd prevent the evolution.
Fancy a society which has been existing under the conditions of severe limitation of access to some recourses - and these resources may be as goods, so communications,lifestyle and important status positions . In societies of that type such status positions are the key factors to more successful life there and “body” needs meeting. As a result the society gets strictly socially stratified with no "social lift" between the social levels. That is what happens now in Russia and so it happens in many other socially retarding societies- or so-called "feudal"ones.
This “feudal-type”
stratification reflects the “traditional”, archaic Hive
structure. The recent article of sociopsichology researches
show the close relation of the Hive psychology and the nation
development rate.
http://www.epjournal.net/
In case that situation was existing for time of, let's say, couple of generations at least, it gets looking quite normal – ie traditional! - for the most of common peoples developed under those conditions. They got more or less adjusted to this situation. That is just due to human character nature. Hence any changes to that situation would be considered as a thread to that adjusted state
- This is also a reason of forever interest to some luxury staff that have few practical use. For long time that staff processing was considered as one's status confirmation. This habit is not easy to forget. This depends on the conditions under which a person has been developing. -
- However this limitation effect has another side-effect, the following:
Having been affecting by some limitation society in course of long time,couple generations at least,that effect causes the social system stiffening, and makes the system autoreplication. In course of long time period peoples would get used and more-or-less adjusted to the system. That is so-called social inertia
Thus peoples of those systems, especially those from the top levels, would resist to any changes to the habitual life-stile from aside to prevent the unavoidable stress of readjusting. Beside this stress, the present access limitation assures some privileges to the upper social levels, so they would go on caring for these limitations would still exist for as long as possible – and this is the most powerful root for indigenisation trends. Till their subdues know nothing else they would keep sustaining the system they are used to – due to psichological inertion..
Without this limitation would be still existing, the value of their position would get decreased a lot. That would threaten their very existence. So they do anything to prevent any contacts of peoples from inside with environment outside that certain country- while being enjoying them by them-selves.
Apparently the overweening neglecting to this effect was the main mistake of the democratists of the Bush period
Failing to meet the people “body” instincts the leading actors of the social pattern in order to shut down the social rebellion get appealing to some imaginary unique spiritual values of that certain people and it initialise the indogenisation process – as it was described above.. That happens currently as in the Russian Federation so in other socially retarding states. This problem is very actual for developing international image of the USA – you may be quite sure that those countries officials are permanently claiming “those wretched Americans”, using some worse slang words. As long as these powers stay “in authority” for common peoples they may strongly influence their ideology.
The success of American state system made them falling into certain overweening position of the Big Brother that knows everything better. This Big Brother is always regarded as some menacing and bothering threat to other nations always, no matter how much reason was in it. So especially bothering it had got now under the crisis conditions. For the Americans got under the Market Autocracy destructing influence and the former Administration actions were just proving this threat. The Market Autocracy nature would be considered here later on. It consists of two parts – one is strictly economical and that's what's called “laisser-faire”. The second part on is that powerful sociopsychological effect, that had not been described yet. However neglecting this effect makes the most of Western intellectuals looking rather booksmart and helpless.
What the evolution goals are? It's species (wich may be
regarded as a complex of specific features combination, may it
not?), so this is its long-term surviving ( not just of
separate unique species specimens but the species as the
whole), ensured by its adjusting to the surrounding
conditions. Its adjusting is going on due the flaw of
mutations which are further fixed through the natural
selection. Then the most adjusted form, the fittest one, fom
the current moment comes up.
Globalization, that
occurred together with communication means development since
the beginning of the 20th century, is that
next evolution step. It is ensuring improving life standards
for peoples, and in trend is irresistible as prove in his
article Economic Globalization: Trends, Risks and Risk
Prevention by Gao Shangquan, one of China's most
prominent economists, a key figure in thinking-thanking
economic reforms in China, the member of the China Communist
Party.
http://www.un.org/esa/policy/
6.. How
it is going on, or The mechanism of evolution.
The mechanisms engining the other species evolution were
formulated by Darwin . It is Natural Selection wich is moved by
variability. It is so-called Darwin crane. The founder of the Open
Society concept Karl Popper states that “"Darwinism is not a
testable scientific theory, but a metaphysical research program".
In the same paper, he continued “I do not see how, without it, our
knowledge could have grown as it has done since Darwin. In trying
to explain experiments with bacteria which become adapted to, say,
penicillin, it is quite clear that we are greatly helped by the
theory of natural selection. Although it is metaphysical, it sheds
much light upon very concrete and very practical researches. It
allows us to study adaptation to a new environment (such as a
penicillin-infested environment) in a rational way: it suggests
the existence of a mechanism of adaptation, and it allows us even
to study in detail the mechanism at work.”
Later he
notes that theism presented as explaining adaptation "was worse
than an open admission of failure, for it created the impression
that an ultimate explanation had been reached."He later said: ”I
still believe that natural selection works in this way as a
research”
to that sentence any biologist may add that currently the
Darwin theory has already been proved for many species with rapid
generations exchange, such as bacteria, club fungi
Basiomycetes , plant, insects. There are many evidents of its
effect on human evolution too, but it's still in discussion.
The same Darwin crane may be applied in many other fields to things under development process. This crane is used in linguistic studies, in culturology at al. This mechanism is perfectly shown in the “Darwin cathedral” by Wylson.
Just the old-fashioned understanding of the term Social Darwinism based on DNA genes should be broadened to the memes and the life-stile habits-based cultural Social Darwinism understanding.
The mechanism of evolution makes it clear what the evolutionary goal of socium – ie society, - are.
There are many evidences that sane human beings are not able to carry out successful life with no interrelations with other society members. It is in its nature, human being a social animal so the society may be regarded as the main evolutionary unit.
7. What is so special in H. Sapiens species?
Many features have been regarded as some unique features that have
been distinguishing H.Sapiens from other biosphere species. None
unique one was found. However their complex is unique.
Combination of
them with recognizing activity forms “ individual free will” or
cognitive activity that together with the environment
transformation ability distinguish H. sapiens from other Hive
species, like bees, ants et al. It makes it able to change
voluntary both its environment and its interrelations with that
environment, significantly decreasing its dependence on the
environment conditions.
This is the species evolutionary advantage. That feature ensured
better species adjusting to the environment against the
muscular – or physical - power in changing climate
conditions. Apparently that was one of the reasons that the
competition with H. Neanderthalensis was won by H. Cro-Magnionis –
the modern species. Along the evolution it increased human
influence on the surrounding environment and decreased the
specimens dependence of the surrounding environment. That
increased the human influence on the environment it was predicted
by V. Vernadsky, Soviet geobiologist of the first half of the 20th
century. European zone deforestation, Sahara and other arid areas'
expanding, possible climate changes, as anthropogenic, so
geophysical...
8 Interpretation of evolution mechanism in human society evolution.
Since the World is changing the human society is to change correspondingly. The evolution mechanisms are still working in Human evolution as well. Their influence on the species interrelation with the environment would be considered. Simultaneously the nature of the current crisis would be regarded as a part of its evolution.
Though the prof Richard Dawkins in his the “God delusion” doesn't agree with the theory of Group selection he comes as far as just half-step away from it. Advocating to Darwin he quotes his words “When two tribes of primeval man, living in the same country, came into the competition if one of the tribes includes ( other conditions are equal) a greater number of courageous, sympathetic and faithful members, who were always ready toward each other of danger,to aid and defend each other, this tribe with no doubts succeeded best and conquer the others...Selfish and contentious people would not cohere and without coheration nothing can be effected. A tribe processing the above qualities in high degree would spread and be victorious over other tribes; but in time it would, judging from all the past history, be overcome by some other socially-retarded and still highly individual-minds-endowed tribes.
In his God delusion Dawkins says concerning the Darwin ideas: To satisfy any biological specialists who might be reading this, I should add that Darwin's idea was NOT strictly group selection, in the true sense of successful spawning daughter groups whose frequencies might be counted in a metapopulation of groups. Rather, Darwin visualized tribes with altruistically cooperative members spreading and becoming more numerous in terms of mumblers of individuals. Darwin's model is... not true group selection” he says there. This main argument makes not valid if speaking of human society evolution. It's true only if relatively short-time tactic is regarded. In this case it's true indeed.”
However in the long-term strategic prospect the situation is otherwise. It happens due to memes replacing of the genes in human social heredity. Memes do not require biological transmission, but have much more powerful mean for distribution – culture heredity. Hence the alive active gene medium is not needed. If some memes prove to be more advantageous, like the genes they are being multiplying and thus spreading wider.
In the meanwhile the memes forming process may be perfectly managed - like that of genes in course of Artificial Selection of domestic animals. Simultaneously while the traditional genetic changes take several generations time to get accepted, the meme-caused changes are highly more flexibles. Hence they are better adjusted to modern conditions.
The model of H.sapiens group evolution is in details considered in the “Darwin Cathedral” by Wylson.
If this way of consideration is followed, it should be assumed that by now the human population have approached to the next stage of evolution.
The
secure passage onto that stage would not be possible without the
based on evolution mechanisms science-based use of those memes
together with the relevant socialising.
Despite that “traditional” individualised genetic variability takes place in H.sapiens society as well, its results play that limited role by now that they may be easily neglected in this case. At the current level of human evolution the “selection objects” got not individuals, but the social structures and hence the ideas of its social organisations. Two main rivals are now the rigid autocratic – ie traditional branch, and the democratic one. Autocratic societies may wary a lot but their common feature is the prevalence of any kind ideology over the human life. This gives them short-time tactic prevalences, that makes them stronger that the democratic branch in short term period
Democracy occurrence became possible as a result of certain "individualization". This individualisation got possible due to the lessing human dependence from the environment conditions and hence – from the strict tight relations inside the society. The democracy makes possible the mobile society structure adjusting to the changed conditions not through mass society determination or the private will of one person – let it be some genius
leader; that leader may get ill, insane or just die and being a human being it may be just wrong after all. This adjusting is possible through the coordination of the several points of views that provides “the 3D vision”.Thus despite its highly unnatural nature the democracy is the only way of providing human society with the sustainable long term existing.
At the current state of our species biological evolution this democratia mechanism replace the “traditional” eliminating selection mechanism. The mechanism of genetic variability – that engine that moves the evolution, providing mutations flaw, may be considered equal to the free market economics. Like it happens in other species evolution it generates the constant flow of changes. And the most optimal ones of those changes get then fixed.
The combination of these two innovative mechanisms ( but biological they are still anyway, so they are more adjusted for biological species like H. sapiens is) – so this combination is to ensure further humanity evolving, adjusting to the changing World, and hence - existing.
Simultaneously many
works show that the modern developed economy of old-democratic
states is able to meet the “basic, body needs” the best. That
is reviving the species of H.sapiens from the limits of biotope
capacity. So do the articles of prof. Turchin from the Santa-Fe
institute, so does that article of growth theorists Oded Galor,
the Professor of Economics, Brown University
Fellow, Department of Economics, Hebrew University
http://www.econ.brown.edu/fac/
On the same writes mr William Halal,PhD, scholar and consultant in his books the “Technologies' promises”, “21st century economics”, “New Capitalism” and others.
The
unavoidable process of globalisation breaks down all the old World
organization pattern ideas,as Mr Rosling was presenting in his
visual report on the TED Conference in 2006
http://www.stumbleupon.com/
In latest 200 hundred years the world experienced that deep
changes that any traditional ways of realising the situation and
dealing with it are not to be used to ensure success. Due to
absolutely nature reasons (various aspects of self-preservation
egoistic instincts, such as looking for getting better “body”
living conditions with less efforts) and the intense development
of transport and communication means the World is getting more and
more globalised. That is natural and unavoidable, so it is can not
be fight against. However it is definitely to be managed and
adjusted trough applying new innovative - science-based and
well-discussed - methods to prevent side-effect accidents.
Several researches
had already proved that Economical Globalisation is irreversible
and welcomed trend
http://www.un.org/esa/policy/
In his book The Lexus
and the Olive Tree, Thomas Friedman wrote:
"Globalization is not a phenomenon. It is not just some passing
trend. Today it is an overarching international system shaping the
domestic politics and foreign relations of virtually every
country, and we need to understand it as such."
However the civilization structure needs deep social restructing in order to ensure this evolving capacity and hence in order to ensure its further existing. This Word structure remaking would be unavoidable.
In this article
http://www.gseis.ucla.edu/
Kellner says that: “A critical theory of globalization is necessarily transdisciplinary”– may be he is right here, however not just critics need it, the globalization theory needs it as a whole!
Further on he says a lot of sound words on the former alternative of previously existing Soviet System. That just shows that he never lived under the Soviet condition. He may have been visiting the SU – but being instant visitor like tourists usually are, he was not able to realise what is day-after-day life under those conditions. The Soviet Union way was that alternative to the USA' one like the death is alternative to live.
Like all those highbrows Western intellectuals, that are getting exited by some exotic cultures they are visiting for couple of week. After leaving they get crying that these unique ancient cultures getting extincting in the changing world. However nobody could make them living forever under these unique special conditions. Then why other peoples should stand it?
I was working a lot with foreign ecotourists in Russia. It is such a popular destination! Such a wilderness! That patriarchal society in wich one can live with no that boring money power and duties! Just for some reasons there are no crowds of migrants from the developed countries.... Exotic – yes, just as a day-after-day life – no, thanks
However what can be done with common folks unable enjoying the happiness of their simple life? Those stupid folks, that are just not able to get their happiness, are always looking forward to living better life...
What can be done with it?
10A – society to get able to change its self, ie to evolve, according the ongoing environmental changes.
The time is running, men can't help changing the environment. Not all of these changes depend on human will, so not all of them could be fight against. In order to stay adjust to its environment the society is to change too according those external conditions, to get less rigid and get certain flexibility while preserving the intersocium connections, while stay keeping away from the anarchia that means nothing but the power of the strongest (or richest, the most powerful ones now) ie there is an urgent need to ensure the society sustainable development. That means how to get Open Society.
11. The Open Society Concept.
That concept was first created by philosopher Henri Bergson. In
open societies, government is responsive and tolerant, and
political mechanisms are transparent and flexible. The state keeps
no secrets from itself in the public sense; it is a
non-authoritarian society in which all are trusted with the
knowledge of all. Political freedoms and human rights are the
foundation of an open society. Brilliant ideal it were, were it
not? However till now that ideal can't be reached. Why?
Like any ideal the Open Society full implementation unreachable,
however what are the ways to approach it?
Later the Open Society Idea was developed by Karl Popper. He
describes an open society as one "in which individuals are
confronted with personal decisions" as opposed to a "magical or
tribal or collectivist society”. That means that this social
pattern stays within the evolutionary mainstream for the H.
Sapiens species and badly contradicts the behavioristic nature of
Hive psychology. The latter is promoted by any mass-Ideology or
mass religion. Till the Hive psychology'd stay in power it
slows down this type society development significantly.
12.
How to combine the
Open Society pattern with the Hive psychology?
For the most of other biosphere species – with some exception of
bees, ants, termites and so on – those who live in “hives”
or other tight colonies - the evolutionary object are
separate specimens and their selection means their eliminating.
For those of them that form hives, the evolution objects are
these hives them-selves, the conglomerates of specimens. No
special attention is paid for single unique specimen.
But that ideal Open Society model is characterised by
a distinction between natural, biological law – which are
affecting the Hive mass - and the law that is worked out by
several individual actors in course of discussion. It
increases the personal responsibility and accountability for
moral choices.
After the Popper's definition the Open Society is to be based on
the scientific theories. Hence the Evolutionary mechanism had been
put forward by Darwin theory should form the basis of this
society. However the genetic mechanism of this selection is not
working anymore, this principle restorig back has been probed to
guarantee the society failure. . New techniques should be worked
out on the basis of new heredity mechanisms, that are working now
in H.Sapiens society.
So the paradigma change is required. Which paradigma it would be? The paradigma of social evolution. Since evolution is ensured by the methods described by Darwin first, at the new level that should be social Darwinism but via new up-to-date approach.
One of the authors of
the Open Society Concept Karl Popper says on the paradigma
change "Darwinism is not a testable scientific theory, but a
metaphysical research program." In the same paper, he continued
“And yet, the theory is invaluable. I do not see how, without it,
our knowledge could have grown as it has done since Darwin. In
trying to explain experiments with bacteria which become adapted
to, say, penicillin, it is quite clear that we are greatly helped
by the theory of natural selection. Although it is metaphysical,
it sheds much light upon very concrete and very practical
researches. It allows us to study adaptation to a new environment
(such as a penicillin-infested environment) in a rational way: it
suggests the existence of a mechanism of adaptation, and it allows
us even to study in detail the mechanism at work.”
He also noted that theism presented as explaining adaptation "was
worse than an open admission of failure, for it created the
impression that an ultimate explanation had been reached." He
later said
“When speaking here of Darwinism, I shall speak always of today's
theory - that is Darwin's own theory of natural selection
supported by the Mendelian theory of heredity, by the theory of
the mutation and recombination of genes in a gene pool, and by the
decoded genetic code. This is an immensely impressive and powerful
theory. The claim that it completely explains evolution is of
course a bold claim, and very far from being established. All
scientific theories are conjectures, even those that have
successfully passed many severe and varied tests. The Mendelian
underpinning of modern Darwinism has been well tested, and so has
the theory of evolution which says that all terrestrial life has
evolved from a few primitive unicellular organisms, possibly even
from one single organism. [12]
He explained that the difficulty of testing had led some people to
describe natural selection as a tautology, and that he too had in
the past described the theory as 'almost tautological', and had
tried to explain how the theory could be untestable (as is a
tautology) and yet of great scientific interest. His solution was
that the doctrine of natural selection is a most successful
metaphysical research programme. “It raises detailed problems in
many fields, and it tells us what we would expect of an acceptable
solution of these problems. I still believe that natural selection
works in this way as a research programme. Nevertheless, I have
changed my mind about the testability and logical status of the
theory of natural selection; and I am glad to have an opportunity
to make a recantation.”
Kellner considers that Open Society may be constructed only on the basis of the scientific testable theories instead of some beliefs.
So in order to facilitate the development of cognitive analytical acitivity and responsibility new ways of education and especially new methods of children socialising are required.
- Humanization
trend. Two main directions of the mankind socialisation
All the history long the humanity was searching for some way to decrease its dependence of the surrounding environment conditions. In culture that happened in course of humanization culture period that brought up any single person soul life value. Now this is the essence of any “civilised” country culture.
Though it started the most powerfully first in Europe during the “siecle de lumiere” or the Enlightenment, which marked the final of Middle Eve.
Since that time the each single human life value ( hence the its' price understanding too) was constantly increased. That pushed the scientific-technical progress. It was aimed to improving human life quality, so if regarded in terms of evolution it may be considered as adjusting to the environment conditions. The feature compulsory to st progress and that ensure its running is the recognition activity – the main innate human feature.
These feature in combination with human life significance increasing caused sciences development and discoveries. Hence we may assume that it's species evolutionary mainstream. The importance of human capital development in Economic growth is proved by the researches of Matteo Cervilatti from University of Bologna - Department of Economics; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA); IAE Barcelona and Uwe Sunde from the Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA); University of St. Gallen http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=340322
The increased life price caused medicine development wich is
impossible without experiments. The rising volume of the data
collected as a result of the Great Geographic Discoveries
together with many other factors brought up experimental
science. All these factors, and especially Free Market
competition cased gradual transfer to the democratic
organization in the Modern Word. The close interrelation of
Democracy and human well-being is proved by the statistic data
from the report of the prof. Rosling
http://www.gapminder.org/
Simultaneously with
all those process the interest toward human rights
throughout the World was increasing significantly in
course of the 20th century – ie in course of
the post-industrial civilisation development– as
it is proved by this chart
http://news.google.com/
So it may be assumed that the main feature that differs“Western-like” democratic socialization branch from the autocratic one is the primal role of any single person vs the Big Leader - or a state as a leader. That attitude of the specimens' conglomerate toward its Big Leader is the feature that is typical for hive mind
Market Economy is aimed to any customer needs, so it seems that the Free Market is to promote individualisation.
However the results of latest 50 years Free Market countries development shows that it is otherwise, the individualization gets decreasing.
All these countries had fallen into Free Market Autocracy – or the combination of the laisser-faire market doctrine with certain social and individual psychology effects. That phenomena is regarded at further on.
History and biology had already proved that any strict
autocracy is fatal to further social development. So fatal is the
Market Autocracy, which is taking place in the Moden Western
societies. It is as the “laisser-faire” principle predomination so
its influence on public psychology. Dawkins wrote nothing on the
latter, but he wrote a lot of the USA religiosity, wich is the
product of that kind of Autocracy. Religiosity of any kind may be
regarded as some United Ideology predomination. In the God
delusion Dawkins writes:”Fundamentalist religion is hell-bent on
running the scientific education of thousands of innocent, well
meaning eager young minds. Non-fundamentalist, “sensible”religion
may not be doing that. But it makes the world safer for
fundamentalism by teaching children, from their earliest years,
that unquestioning faith is value”. The early age socialising of a
baby influence his further behaviour and culture greatly
http://www.stumbleupon.com/s/#
Since all we are social animals, so all of us are to some level affected bu Hive Psychology. It is the phenomena sin qua non, no social life were possible without it. So it can not be fought abainst. However the dangerous primitive religiosity effect is to be decreased via individual mind development.
Currently the civilisation reached that level of development that makes it possible and unavoidable due to globalisation.
Recently Dawkins wrote
the following piece quoted by the British Guardian newspaper "When
you think about how fantastically successful the Jewish lobby has
been, though, in fact, they are less numerous I am told -
religious Jews anyway - than atheists and (yet they) more or less
monopolize American foreign policy as far as many people can see.
So if atheists could achieve a small fraction of that influence,
the world would be a better place." The orthodox American
Judaists, Ravvi Levy Brackman and Rivka Lubitch and others had
immediately got blaming him in Judaphobia, but Judophob he is as
far as he is ANYreligion-phobe. One should not forget - that
communism-socialism that was in the USSR was just some special
sort of religion as well. That's why there is not so much a
difference between opposing any orthodox ideology and secular
state organization opposing. The main problem is that any religion
- even Buddhism, ref the history! - always tends falling into some
kind of orthodoxy among common middle-minded peoples. That proves
the results of this work of New School of Social Researches, wich
proves that collective religious rituals, but not the religion
devotion, spur for suicide attacks
http://www.sciencedaily.com/
this article shows that and any orthodoxies are the same - btw
even the "human rights' whatchers" (those peoples that are called
by Anatol Lieven in the “Ethical realism” as Democratists) on the
one side, and the leftists' on the other. The latter are
described as " united in hate" in the New York Post
http://www.nypost.com/seven/
So both of those wings are the Market orthodoxy results. This
orthodoxy is the same dangerous too, just its mechanism is
somewhat more adjusted... Market orthodoxy or Market Autocracy is
other words the result of the “laissez-faire” market principle
dominating – the risk, both pluses and minuses of this policy were
considered in the discussion of prominent capitalism theorist
Reisman with one prominent capitalist George Soros here
http://apn-nn.ru/diskurs_s/65.
The paper by Akerlof describes how the interaction between quality heterogeneity and can lead to the disappearance of a market where guarantees are indefinite.
Aiming to meeting any customer unique need the Market Autocracy significantly promote falling of people with poorly developed individuality under the the influence of Narcissistic syndrome wich is also called Narcissistic personal disorder. This is the official name that describe as serious decease, Narcissism personal disorder. This loud scientific name makes the Narcissus believing that it's a serious decease that need no patient efforts, but medicines are needed to cure it. It takes off from him any blame and it sounds even somewhat flattering – look, how special I AM! However the same thing used to be considered formerly just poor breeding or in other words just poor juvenile socializing - a thing that may perfectly been fixed through child' developing in course of the one's juvenile period. Unfortunately unlike the medicines treatment it needs some objects efforts too...
15. Reasons of the Suicidal policy of the West.
The danger of the overqualified following the laissez-faire principle – hereandafter the Market Autocracy is the following: there is the statistical law, which shows that if the eliminating selection factors are absent, the maximum of that curve shifts toward the more frequent feature. That is why the market, which aims to the mass consumer needs meeting, and which simultaneously secures the surviving of the less intellectually developed individuals, causes the decrease of the general intellectual development of a society, its cognitive actively decrease. So like Autocracy of any kind. it tends bringing peoples back into easily-ruled herd state. It does do through cognitive activity weakening.
The market-forming
technologies strongly favouring the Narcissism personal
disorder as well
Beside that by weakening cognitive activity it increase the
power of instinctive behaviorism laws on human society and
hence the power of any biosphere ecological laws, such as the
Malthus effect and Lemmings effect as well.
The cognitive activity weakening is proved by the
Flynn's Effect that shows that in the developed countries – ie
in those countries that have been affected by the Marked
Autocracy the most -in these countries the “general IQ”
level was significantly rising up to approximately 70 s, but
tuned backward later. Together with the development of
market-forming technologies increase peoples gullibility.
At the same time the individualization level, this is regarded here as just some kind of asocial behaviour on the contrary increases. It looks so unusual, exciting and interesting to the young people who never knew other living conditions! All that led to of a mass postmodernism arising and its flourishing in the pop cultures. (in its mass pop-forms; talents and unique persons may occur always and everywhere, however).The postmodernism paradigma of moral-relativism contradicts the “moral instincts”of human minds and thus it just deepening the rapture between the society's branches
The postmodernists go
across any public opinion – whatever it is; these persons are
mainly those very non-conformists those go across the market
ideology. The problem is that the modern, present
“non-conformists” got the integral part of market ideology as
well, suffer the same Narcissistic personal disorder and
thus in fact they gave up being non-conformists.
Now they form those Leftists, united in Hate
http://www.nypost.com/seven/
Getting disregarding the Market Autocracy those leftists get
supporting any “anti-West” state, which all are autocratic,
helas. And none of those states may show any exit at all.
So the Suicidal politicy of the West is caused not just by following the “laisser faire” marketing policy, but also by serious sociopsychological effects caused by market technologies development. These effects are Flynn effect – ie cognitive activity decrease, - and Narcissits personal disorder. Due to the habitual comfort the psychological reaction of a person change to that extent that sometimes it gets him hard even to fancy how person that developed without that comfort could react to this.
These effects together with increased people gullibility cause mass public hysterics such as Bird-Swine Flu epidemia and Climategate , anti-trans genetic food products panic. They both were created by commercially interested instillations via public hysteric inspired by medias activity. Today medias play the same role the religion used to play before, so just like ritual religions, medias' influence may be considered as the serious thread to the Open Society development. Here, in media influence, memes and the information transfer via Second Signal System in general play the main part. Hence it may be managed too.
all the public panics
and leftists behaviour made Samuel Hantington the author of
the "Clash of the civilizations and remaking World order"
saying at the- trilateral commission (USA-EU-Japan report)
“At the present time, a significant challenge comes from the
intellectuals and related groups who assert their disgust
with
the corruption, materialism, and inefficiency of democracy
and with the subservience of democratic government to
"monopoly capitalism." The development of an "adversary
culture" among intellectuals has affected students,
scholars,
and the media. Intellectuals are, as Schumpeter put it,
"people who wield the power of the spoken and the written
word, and one of the touches that distinguish them from
other people who do the same is the absence of direct
responsibility for practical affairs."
However the alternative to the “Westerns way” would be any single person interest neglecting in front of collective interests – ie the “classical” Autocracies. These states may be either secular or religious, but all of them suffer some united ideology pressure. That was the USSR and so is Russia now, so is the Northern Korea. And all thesecoybtries have been suffering serious supply problems.
However the most severe problem is the huge gap the exists now between the economical development of those 2 branches. The democratic branch includes all the countries with developed Market economies and related with it Democratic state organisation. The second branch include many Muslim Middle East countries and ex-communist states, especially Russia. The states of the South West Asia combine rather autocratic power and ultraliberal economy. These states have many peculiarities. However some politeconomical expert expect them moving toward more democratic organisation due to intensive third class development
It were possible if not the innate features are used to distinguish those branches. Several attempts of determining some Higher Race had already been done. All of them have been proved by history to be wrong and wretched. Applying to that problem new approach would be to facilitate it.
The very character of human evolution gives that answer to that. However this answer goes across so many holy worshiped traditions, that iti s seen by almost nobody! It would mean to transfer for short-time tactic goals achieving to the strategic ones. It sounds logic, just how this could be done?
Some hints are presented by the Economy of Norway. Currently it presents some modest growing unlike those of the rest of European countries.http://www.nytimes.
Instead of spending its riches lavishly, it established legislation ensuring that oil revenue went straight into its sovereign wealth fund, state money that is used to make investments around the world. Now its sovereign wealth fund is close to being the largest in the world, despite losing 23 percent last year because of investments that declined.” So we may assume that Norway had escaped the trap of Market Autocracy, but not via unwise “get-it-and-shut up” social “left” method. They know perfectly well that “If you are given a lot, you have a responsibility. “. Unfortunately in the most of the other countries socialism traditionally means no responsibility at all, and life experience USSR makes scaring of the very word “socialism”. If it is not based on the market pattern(evolutionary advantageous), hence it always leads to the state bureaucracy autocracy of high level
Evolution approach shows that any system that is rigid to changes is fatal to some limits. These limits depend on the limits of system flexibility. And that correlates well with the idea of the American power - “global but limited” by Friedman (see later)
In his God delusion Dawkins presents data that “Meta-analysis is the technique whereby an investigator looks at all the research papers that have been published on the topic and counts up the number of papers that concluded one thing, versus the member that have concluded something else. On the subject of religion and IQ the only metaanaslysis known to me was published by Paul Bell in Menza Magazine I 2002 (Menza is the society of individuals with high IQ..) Bell conclude ” of 43 studies carried out since 1927 on the relationship between religions belief and one's intelligence and\or education level, all but four found an inverse connection. That is the higher one's intelligence and education level, the less one is likely to be religious and hold “beliefs” of any kind
Frank Sullivan et al researches proved that religiosity is negatively correlated with education ( more highly educated people are less likely to be religious), with interest to science and political liberalism. There is positive correlation between religiosity and parents' religiosity, sociologists studying British children have found that only about one in twelve break away from their parents religious beliefs
Religiosity is indeed negatively correlated with education (more higher educated people are less likely to be religious
The most recent researches prove that religiosity is negatively correlated with the economical development as well http://www.epjournal.net/
“Even non-fundamentalist, “sensible” “modern”religion - or ideologies! - make the world safer for fundamentalism by teaching children, from their earliest years, that unquestioning faith is value” (Dawkins God delusion) They determine the babies socialising manner and thus their further behaviour. http://www.stumbleupon.com/s/#
It seems there is the only way of avoiding the ideology predomination danger, though it is not panacea as well. This way would also decrease the influence of the Narcisstic personal disorder among the younger generation. It would partly release human beings from any psychological behaviour-forming influence from some socium authorities -. this way is the broadening of human interests outlooks through development of experimental knowledges-based juvenile education system together with information exchange and other communications means development. That would break group isolation, self-isolation, first of all, and make people less authority controlled and able to keep being self-responsible.
This human “mind-psycho” adjustment is the prior goal to the global civilisation in order to smoothing down civilisation unbalance. Currently it has already caused many mass hysterics, panics and the current economical crisis as well
The latest scandals and hysterics on bird-swine flu, Climategate, transgenic food products fears, as well as interreligions conflicts had proved its destructive social effect.
- Reasons
for Muslims retarding – ie the delay in the Muslim
countries social structure evolving
Since that recognizing activity is innate for any specimen of H. sapiens, living in various conditions, it may come up in various ways, wich depend on surrounding conditions. However as long as unique human value was low all over the World in the ancient times , thus creative capacity was only of somewhat restricted use. For instance there are historical evidences that first time the steam engine was invented back in Alexander the Great times in his “intellectual” capital Alexandria. However since there were enough cheap slaves around it was used only for some entertainments. Then it was forgotten for ages in the depth of dusty manuscripts. It was reinvented only when the human labour got too expensive. Many marvelous discoveries were in Ancient China, but... and in Muslim word too – on the background of preserved Greek capital. That was in of the Mauritania Spain times.
However that got finished after Reconquista, when the Supreme power was got by religious orthodoxes which are now called Islamists. Islam arising is timed to the historic period of the Zoraists Empire of Persia conquering by half-marginal tribes of Arabs. They succeeded in this conquering and had to get suppressing the conquered ones. zMay be it's one of the historical reasons of the Muslim intolerance to “infidels”
The severe conditions those tribes used to live under before that conquest, ensured the neglecting of single human life in favor of some tribal “general goals”. That time it was evolutionary preferable – so they won, got numerous and Islam spread. That was a type of hive psychology.
Later on the Reconquista of the Spain caused the burst of Spanish Christian religiosity. The Reconquista success required strict society consolidation around its leaders. So Spain got badly theocratic state that times. Very rigid it got then. The huge incomes from the new Word helped it to sustain that rigidity for rather long time, till the 19th century. However the 20th century long the Spain and the Portugal were the poorest countries of Europe.
So we may see
from here that the Hive Psychology, while making possible
some tactic victories causes strategic loss.
Under it's influence masses of common people may be sent
wherever their “Hive” leader is pointing them to. the
recognizing activity may come up in form in scholastic
researches as well – ie studying of some texts on unknown
language only ( like Pushto-speaking Afghanistan talibs
(“students”) learning by hard the Pharcy -written Qur'an
texts without understanding their sense), especially of
those that are considered Sacred ones. So it stay till now
in the Islamistic countries. The recent anthropologists
researches have proved that these are not the religious
devotion but collective religious rituals that contribute
the hive psychology the most
http://www.sciencedaily.com/
Why the social evolution in Muslim counties slowed down
despite the brilliant start? The geographic position of
Arab countries between the remote Far East countries and
Europe made them possible to conserve the archaic state
patterns. These position between the consumers and
suppliers let them increasing income only via reselling of
products without developing social productive (effective)
forces and hence preserving the out-of-date social
pattern. This may be regarded like some specific kind of
the famous
Dutch disease
.
That term means the social development retarding due to some non labour-cost resources-based huge income. Historically those resources were agricultural territories and some minerals from that territories -the main source of incomes.
And in the 20th century the oil demand occurred. This demand facilitated the archaic society structure preservation for longer. Thus, for instance , that so called Dutch disease causes retarding in the Russia' state model reforming. In this case not just natural resources may be regarded as a main reason for this retarding.
Before the industry and technical development this retarding was caused by the very territory spreading. Nowadays some international funding sources, wich may be regarded sometimes as those natural income sources. That happens if these funding ensure further system functioning without relevant changes in the society pattern.
If speaking of
Arab countries the closer analysis of statistical data
presented in recent report of Prof. Rosling proves that
even those extrahuge incomes did not affected much the
general population well-being. nowadays when the oil price
is falling their position would get significantly worse.
This would in its turn make the tension inside these
countries rising due to the increasing number of peoples
looking for meeting their “egoistic self-preservation
instincts”. That threaten the very out-of date state
system existing. To avoid conflicting within the fideles
on the various Qur'an interpretation (wich strongly depend
on the current political situation) the following politics
are followed:
“By far the majority of Muslims today live their lives
without recourse of violence, for the Koran is like a
pick-and-mix selection. If you want peace, you can find
peaceable verses. If you want war, you can find bellicose
verses. How Islamic scholars cope with the many
contradictions they found in Qur'an – in order of coping
with it the principle of abortion was developed, whereby
later texts trump the earlier ones.” - writes Ibn Warraq
in his book“Why I'm not Muslim”
Here it should
be added that the history had already proved that the theocratic
state is never economically successful. The Chronic
Dependence of Popular Religiosity upon Dysfunctional Psychology
Psychosociological Conditions was confirmed by
the article by Gregory Paul, published in Evolutionary
http://www.epjournal.net/
16A Unfortunately, by today that retarding got supported by enormous oil incomes of the upper elites. In outmoded societies the income and social position of that peoples would exist as long as the very social system of certain state exist. So they would not be interested in any innovations – that would destroy the existing system they are fit to. So they would use ritual religion – the essential part of hive psychology – to get public support for further state isolation. The Report of Freedom House further proves that it always cause retarding and even reverse in Democratic institutions development.
But not just oil and gas incomes cause it. Te recent history proves that various International funding, that is just granting without relevant social changes, may have the same effect.
That's why it has been reinforcing and now causes instability all over the World
For a long time the problem of Modenisation-Westernization ratio
has been discussed. Such states as Saudi Arabs or Qatar are
regarded as the successful example of Modernization with no
Westernization. Hereinafter as Modernization the modernization of
just life style is regarded, while as Westernization – the
corresponding changes in the state power organizations are. The
20th century history proves that the Modernization with no
Westernization creates the “torn cultures” with wide gap between
the upper social level and “common folk”. In those countries
the political elite do not reflect the real common citizens'
needs. It causes social tension rising inside those poor states,
their elites that still keep significant influence over the minds
of poorly developed common peoples. In order to prevent social
explosions they increase anti-West indigenization processes. The
USA are the most powerful West representative. Due to the Market
Autocracy effect it does indeed a lot of political mistakes due to
the Market Autocracy influence. Hence, the autocratic states are
actual not just anti-American, but anti-west in general,
anti-aliens in general.
Currently some former political refugees -political
emigrants from the Middle East countries are seen in the Western
countries, desperately calling for the Western - the USA's mainly
– government for not fallow the Lieven's ” Ethical realism”
principles and for not fall under the chic richness charms. By
doing this the West would betray the masses of suppressed common
peoples from those countries. This situation is
perfectly reflected in this fiction review of main
political forces reaction.
An Suazian dictator
calls a press conference and by the way roasts the leg of one of
the prominent country dissidents for the barbeque.
In the evening newspapers a wide spectrum of opinions is
present.
Neocons: That's it! Obvious human rights violation! Bomb the shit
out of 'em!
Democrats: Well, people deserve what they get - probably this
unlucky guy who suffered at the hands of the regime also voted for
their current leader. At any rate, if Suazians were such an
oppressed people as some tend to believe, why didn't they find
means to change their government?
Liberals: While strongly condemning some of the governmental
methods of dealing with oppositional forces, it must be understood
that Suaz is an independent country which operates within its own
laws and thus any act of aggression against it would be
warmongering and barbarism.
Radical Left: We must congragulate Suazian leader for his brave
and honest policy towards the Western imperialism and protecting
his people from its malevolent designs.
Anonimous Suazians: aahh... Please help us... Hel...
Average reader looks through the newspaper, enjoys a good yawn and
asks his neighbour:
Where the hell is Suaz and how much oil it has?
Of course it's just a joke, but it is too resembling the real situation, is not it?
This report of
Freedom Hose shows show the increase of free,
non-labour-cost income, such as oil and gas revenues,
destroy the social systems
http://www.freedomhouse.org/
17A. True liberal Position – or neoliberalism
However the liberal
position from above is not that of true liberal . Sensibel
liberal position has nothing common with that of those
spoilt babies of the Western World, united in hate
http://www.nypost.com/seven/
“By the way, I'm being asked many times if it is true that after my words the market would correct everything itself. Nothing like that. I have never said anything of that kind. The thing is that the huge crucial part of society life is based on economy, and that area is to be built on the market laws for they are the most effective. But it is to be limited by certain State regulations. For there are certain functions of the State, that can not be done it by anybody else. Besides after the words of Michael Porter, author highly respected by me, the entrepreneur should be put under such institutional conditions that he could figure out just one possibility of earning through increasing productivity and innovation. If it is possible to find other means for getting benefits, - the institutional system is imperfect.
Now many discussion are going on around China's special way. China state looks show its own way of getting NOT westernized while simultaneously getting great economy success.
Chinese situation is very special due to its special starting conditions. However soon that system would meet some intrinsic problems as well.
Here Yasin, the Head of Higher Economic School describes some of them:
“Now everybody says that the Chinese peoples are inborn innovators. Indeed, they had created almost all the achievements of the ancient world, such as gun powder, paper, printing, the compass. Do you think that they were not capable? Sure, they were. All people are equally capable, then comes up the question of implementing these achievements ito everyday life environment. And that is a question of culture. In his book “Dolgoye vremya”(= the “long period”)? Egor Gaidar was quoting the work of one great Russian scientist Vasily Bartold, in wich he compared China with Western Europe. This comparing clearly shows that the success of technology by itself does not cause the progress of social life. The example of China shows that you may know the powder and do not create a strong army, know compass and do not establish a compass navigation, know typography, and do not create public opinion.”
Conclusion may be done that that SOCIAL SYSTEM is more fitted that is able to ensure the interrelation between Technology and social life progress.
The same conclusions can be come to if regarding the evolution Muslim civilization. Before the Rconquista they were great innovators – but what of those innovations were introduced into everday folk life, except for algebra and calendar? However the Islam ideology of that time was quite far from the agitated Muslim Fundamentalism of today.
The author hope that all the written above had already proved that the purely biochemical heredity does not play the decisive role in human sociums evolution. The transfer to the new understanding of the evolution mechanism is badly required now. It may be assumed that in order to avoid the destiny of all the Hive species – those species like lemmings, bees termites et al, - certain level of individualisation should be ensured but it should be combined with cooperation inside the socium parts, individuals.
18.
The transition
onto that next step is marked by the scope of the present
economical crisis .
This moment is especially interesting because the similar reason
crisis used to happen in many countries including the USA formerly
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
18A The correlation between the society productive forces development and it's social pattern was considered by many various economists.
the correlation between Kondratiev waves and Great social perturbations and Biggest Wars gets evident from that table
First Industrial Revolution - Circa 1800 – 1850
Cotton based technology; 1810 –end of Napoleonic Wars
Second Industrial Revolution Circa 1850 – 1900 railways, shipping, heavy industry, iron and steel etc. 1870s - First World War and The Great Russian Revolution of 1917
Third Industrial revolution 1908 – 1947 Petrol chemicals, internal combustion engine, electrification. Inter-war slump 1920s and 30s - Second World War 1939-1945
Post-war Boom 1947 – 1991
Consumer goods, electronics, etc 1973
Contemporary Era 1991 – present The Internet, mobile technologies, bio-technologies etc 2010s – what would expect the humanity at the current stage?
Unfortunately Kondratieff could not worked out his theory further than the 19th century, because in 30es he got to Soviet Gulag and there he was condemned to death in 1938. However these ideas were further developed by many economists. In his Business Cycles (1939), Josef Schumpeter suggested naming the cycles, "Kondratieff waves", in honor of the economist who first noticed them. The historian Eric Hobsbawn wrote of this theory: "That good predictions have proved possible on the basis of Kondratiev Long Waves—this is not very common in economics—has convinced many historians and even some economists that there is something in them, even if we don't know what." Till now there is no officially accepted explanation of these cycles waving, and to the Winter – depressive - period of these cycles. However one of these period reasons may be the social pattern retarding as long as the new productive forces development have developed. In the meanwhile these cycles – or waves – may be regarded as some cause that drives cliodynamic. The cliodinamic is a new discipline recently proposed by prof. Turchin http://www.eeb.uconn.edu/
So currently the technology and communication means development make the globalization unavoidable and this crisis proves that classical capitalism pattern – so called “laisser-faire”, - is retarding. So to cure it the social pattern should get adjusted. However due to its flexible nature it is still more adjusted than any out-of-date “traditional” states organizations.
Though it seems that the current crisis affects mostly the Countries of “Golden Billion” - the most developed after following market strategy they are. However these countries influence on the rest of the World countries makes evident many powerful interrelations inside humanity.
(I just wonder why none expert of those I had come over, have been saying nothing on the very serious demography problem, wich was created by Mao rough demography politics of fertility control. Only one child per family was allowed, the violators had to pay the fee about 10 thousand dollars – which was impossible for the most of the population. Due to some religious traditions that only child was to be male, the female embrios were just aborted – until the Ultra-Sound got prohibited. Those politics created two main problems:1- the generation of more individualised “little Emperors”, highly individualized and spoilt by parents generation, that is changing the state-oriented sociopsychology. Another problem is “ gender imbalance”, the reproductive ages females shortage. The “little Emperors generation” is highly individualised. So peoples of that generation is now slowly destroying the state-orientated ideology. Together with the current crisis it causes many recent changes in the China State organization. The inside demand for those changes is slightly increasing step by step. It would further cause some additional individualization. So Huntington's views, though considered “classic” now were quite out-of-date....
Overpopulated are only the seashore regions. The North is rather deserted and poorly developed and that means that they are still have certain limits to reach....)
If the difference between those branches is just mind organisation, so it may be managed
This difference till
mow is ensured not by some genes, some biochemical
structures,which are hard to change after some will efforts,
but by cultural changes those could be managed via children
socialising. The recent researches proved that culture, not
just genes, drive the evolution of Human beings
http://news.discovery.com/
In this article
http://www.gseis.ucla.edu/
Kellner says that: “A critical theory of globalization is necessarily transdisciplinary”– may be he is right here, however not just critics need it, the globalization theory needs it as a whole!
Further on he says a lot of sound words on the former alternative of previously existing Soviet System. That just shows that he never lived under the Soviet condition. He may have been visiting the SU – but being instant visitor like tourists usually are, he was not able to realise what is day-after-day life under those conditions. The Soviet Union way was that alternative to the Western more-or-less USA' ones like the death is alternative to live.
Like all those highbrows Western intellectuals, that are getting exited by some exotic cultures they are visiting for couple of week. After leaving they get crying that these unique ancient cultures getting extincting in the changing world. However nobody could make them living forever under these unique special conditions. Then why other peoples should stand it?
I was working a lot with foreign ecotourists in Russia. It is such a popular destination! Such a wilderness! That patriarchal society in wich one can live with no that boring money power and duties! Just for some reasons there are no crowds of migrants from the developed countries.... Exotic – yes, just as a day-after-day life – no, thanks
However what can be done with common folks unable enjoying the happiness of their primitive lifestyle? Those stupid folks, that are just not able to get their happiness, are always looking forward to living better life...
in fact later on Kellner agrees that:
This global culture, however, operates precisely through the multiplication of different products, services, and spectacles, targeted at specific audiences. Consumer and media industries are becoming more differentiated and are segmenting their customers and audiences into more categories. In many cases, this involves the simulation of minor differences of fashion and style as significant, but it also involves a proliferation of a more highly differentiated culture and society in terms of an ever expanding variety and diversity of cultural artifacts, products, and services. - hence to the following
he also quotes the work of Auxmann, who also suggests that global citizenship and thus the effects of globalization per se could promote a greater acceptance of diversity, heterogeneity, and otherness rather than globalization just promoting homogeneity and sameness (1997) -
so he is not that hopeless.
I repeat – certainly the globalisation should be MANAGED, managed on the ground of sociology and sociopsychology sciences, those would take into account as cognitive psychology, so behaviorism, ethology and ecology, but not to fight against. that would be that stupid as fighting against any natural phenomena.
The next question us
HOW to do it? Which principles are to be applied too it? - The
previous wretched attempts to do it –as by the SU, so by the Nazy
Germany - dismissed to very term "social darvinism". But how to
deal without it - at the new level? Not on the DNA-based
one, or just on any innate natural privilege it should be done. So
that actual social engineering is to be somewhat close to the
strategy is offered by the gen Kilcullen in his New Strategy for
the 21st century
http://smallwarsjournal.com/
That supposes that
military actions should take about 20% of all the efforts. Despite
they are unavoidable, they should stay limited and combined with
efforts of such agencies as USAID and Peace of Corp et al to help
people in social condition improving and local capacities building
andnew staff education
http://smallwarsjournal.com/
The panic reaction toward their activity of the Russian government structures proves their efficiency. My own working experience proves that USAID contributed a lot to local capacity building. Hence it was somewhat destroying the existing stratified social pattern indeed.
Simultaneously it was not increasing the Anti-American moods among common peoples. Is it not that goal to stream to?
That strategy may be successful to some limits indeed. Just to win over it completely that would take too much instinct society changes.
The methods of
the leading role restoring would not be limited just by methods of
economical restoration as David Brooks offers in his article the
Next culture war
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/
That would promote the globalized network Word organisation, on which the Head of The Higher Economy School, Russia, Evgeny Yasin says that
“there should be certain rules. These rules are to be followed by anybody (to ensure this system working)
However without competition, there is no demand for innovations. Private property needs an open free market and this market is the environment, which can rise and science and innovation and all countries.
One may be leader in some certain branch of producing but loose its leadership in other branches. It would be possible to live in World that have not a single leader with the only best economy. Each county may have its-own advantages depending on its specifics. China may have advantages in that, America – in that, India – in this, Brazil in this, and Russia as well. And it may well turn out that the living standards of different economies, in fact, more or less equal. After the conclusion we made together with my graduate student and published in the journal Problems of Economics, in the second half of the 21 st century the trend emerged that to a great extent the living standards in different countries would get more equalizes, instead of all the apocalyptic notions.
However till now this gap is very large.
If we regard the productivity, the efficiency, America continues to increase productivity, and it is faster than others, for example, European countries, and it relies mainly or only to new industries and innovations.” - ie on the further evolution unlike the recourses-dependants.
So the described above Global Culture revolution would promote the “primus into pares” World organisation, that is considered now the most effective model of the development process organisation and management. The goal is actually to find how to decrease the Hive psychology effect while staying within socium? Would it be possible to resolve that intrinsic conflict of human nature? The social changes in many modern countries show the World the direction to follow....
19 . Global development is required to smoothen those development gaps
The first
attempt of global regulation development was the first Earth
Summit held by the United Nations Conference on Environment and
Development (UNCED), whch resulted in several crucial
international documents, including the Rio Declaration on
Environment and development. This summit is periodical.
There Sergei Kapiza presented the Global Marchal Plan
http://files.
. Currently development of this Plan seems the only way for further Human civilisation development. That would also facilitate the realisation of the prognosis,made in the article written by Yasin, the Head of Higher Economic School together with his graduate student and issued in the journal Problems of Economics,, . In that article they discuss that in the second half of the 21 st century the trend emerged that to a great extent the living standards in different countries would get more equalizes, instead of all the apocalyptic notions.
But till now this gap in living standards and development among various countries is still too wide.
To realise that prognosis it would be necessary to fill the gap of the states development. TheGlobal Marshal plan of Kapitza may do it.
However that Global Marchall Plan should be very expensive one – expensive not just by funding sources, but by management effects as well.
This question bother many well-known peoples. Mr Freidman in his article “Paging uncle Sam” http://www.nytimes.com/2009/
Further Mr Friedman goes on by saying:”Never more inward-looking, never more in demand: that’s America today. This moment recalls a point raised by the Johns Hopkins University foreign policy expert Michael Mandelbaum in his book, “The Case for Goliath.” “When it comes to the way other countries view America’s pre-eminent role in the world”, he wrote, “whatever its life span, three things can be safely predicted: they will not pay for it; they will continue to criticize it; and they will miss it when it is gone.”
Coming back to biological principles of economy evolution through using innovative methods of society changes via memes using would make the dreams of the New York Times columnist and best-selling author Thomas Friedman coming true, the expectation that the America that would lead the world again - this time by example.
It’s time to honor rather than avoid and outsource physical labor. Our children are healthy enough to cut our own lawns and pick our fruit. Let’s also hope they want to hear a lot more about Gen. David Petraeus’ success, and a lot less of Madonna’s latest psychodramas. »
http://www.washingtontimes.
However the methods of the leading role restoring would not be limited just by methods of economical restoration . They are to be wider , David Brooks write on these changes in his article the Next culture war http://www.nytimes.com/2009/
The USA accepting of such a responsibility would make mr. Friedman dreams come true – but are the United States ready for it? May be these are the changes Barak Obama was talking about? Some hints of such strategy of “destruction from inside” were offered by Max Boot, the USSR-emigrant politologist:” The US government should do more to publicize and denounce such abuse. We need to champion Chinese dissidents, intellectuals and political prisoners and make them as famous as Andrey Sakharov, Vaclav Havel and Lech Valensa”. The anti-American moods that the Ethical realism authors worry about, would arise anyway, but not the policy of “Ethical realism” may smooth them down. Instead it would just increase them, like the Chamberlain policy toward the Nazy Germany did it. However that strategy offered by Max Boot may change the attitude toward the USA among the common peoples, which are usually apart from the elite in power in these coultures.
That strategy worked rather well assisting the Soviet Union power decreasing, though the current situation is much more complicated and dangerous.
So the steady leading position of the USA, the position that would simultaneously stabilise the whole World, would mean that state accepting the heavy but very promising role in this process of world globalisation.
There is some general answer which is broadening common people minds horizons through global system of the teenagers science-based education, going together with communication means development and anti-isolation measures, as the economical, so – the more crucial kind of it – the culture one. However this goal may be achieved only by the USA leading economy – that is the price of World leadership, for it means the responsibility too.
Lack of this responsibility had already lead to he current crisis, so taking this responsibility back would benefit solving both Mondial and the USA problems, that partly was described in this article of prof Peter Turchin in his article of the educated elite overproducing http://www.expert.ru/
The vivid and obvious example of new American generation of Latino - and AfroAmerican political leaders – and even the very USA President Obama proves both the memes theory significance. It also proves that the the USA state pattern ability to deal with conversion of this evolution paradigma. Its social pattern has been developed on the basis of incorporating the innovations into business and social life. The load of social inertia was got off in course of the war between the South and the North. No its further development, evolving and hence - existing were possible without these innovations however by the end of the 20th century they got another social inertia load, that described above Market Autocracy
So all the written
above make reader able to come to the following conclusion:
Due to the Second Signal System development (ie language or in
other words in non-chemical means of information
transmittance), so due to this the Human evolution has changed
its nature from strictly biochemical way of heredity to the
biologically innovative one. That new way is characterized by
using this Second Signal System means for information
transmittance. This way is not as individually strict and
unlike the classical biochemical trans,that transmittance may
be managed. Recent researches prove that both types of
heredity, as biochemical, so that innovative - cultural one -
are tightly interrelated
http://news.discovery.com/
Under these conditions the evolutionary unit is not the single
specimen, but the group of human beings, united by
intersocial relations. The structure of these relations
reflects the role of the Hive psychology involving. Hive
psychology is common for any other biosphere social
species. It opposes the individual mind development, ie
it prevents cognitive activity developent
All the biosphere species development is determined by
biotope capacity. That capacity limitation switch
on the process of the species density autoregulation. In
social species these autoregulation is working through the
Hive psychology mechanism, so-called Lemming Effect. These are
the mechanisms causing the current violence increase.
The biotope capacity oversaturation made Thomas Malthus
predict by the end of the 19th century some great civilization
crysis due to soil depletion.
The only feature that distinguish H. Sapiens from other
biosphere species is cognitive activity. That
feature allows this species That was the feature that was not
taken into account by Malthus while he was predicting its
“Malthus crysis” in the second half of the 19th century. The
concept of Kondratieve waves is close to the former Malthus
one, just he did not missed the biotope transformation
capacity.
That very feature that could break down those biotope
capacity' limits.
The Hive psychology is turning on by certain
unification level. In the mean while the cognitive activity –
that one that make it possible to break the biotope capacity
limits – so the cognitive activity requires in vise versa
certain individualization level. So the main problem is to
incorporate cognitive activity development with the hive
psychology, wich is typical for H. Sapiens as social
biosphere species.
Unfortunately the cognitive mind activity is by suppressed by
modern marketing technologies.
The current crisis has shown the urge of restoring that
cognitive activity in any social system of the
civilisation. In the developed countries was suppressed by the
Market Autocracy, while in the developing it was
suppressed just by economical means and related with
them sociopsychological effects- such as isolationism,
religious orthodoxy and xenophobia.
Seems somewhat impossible to reach that goal, but that was
Arthur Clarck who said “The only way of finding the limits of
the possible is by going beyond them into impossible”
So shall we try?
To those conclusions I was able yo come just
after theoretical considerations.
However recently I had found some international literature
sources which just confirm the conclusion In had come to in
it. These are these works
http://www.ucl.ac.uk/news/
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/
This article of Sergei Kapiza is in Russian, but it's
dedicated to the same problems are regarded
http://www.chronos.msu.ru/
I would love my humble work would contribute the
implementation of the civilization development plan proposed
by Sergei Kapitza at the Club of Rome
http://files.
The Global Marshal
plan ides was first pot forward at the Rio Summit in
2006 by the Russian scientist demograph Sergei Kapitza.
http://files.
That time that project drew almost no wide public attention. However much wider attention together with Nobel Prize drew the Global Marshall plan Project initiated in 2007 by Al Gore. That project is being developeing now
However the very name of Al Gore sounds now somewhat suspicious because of the Climategate affair . However the proper public control is to be established to avoid its failing, like Climate change affair/.
A good article on the
Copenhagen Meeting appeared in Guardian “This is bigger than
climate change. It is a battle to redefine humanity” by George
Monbiot, the scholar-philosopher and the author of many
bestselling bookshttp://www.guardian.co.
21.A. Climategate and politicians' role - and on related social changes.
the climate change
is too complected question no special single cause
could be determined. Either these are greenhouse gases, or the
interglacial age period finish, or it may be
increased disproportion of the albedo distribution....
Btw, the latest Chili earthquake shifted the terrastrial
axis to 8 sm and that may cause serious climate changes too.
But is it sense to fight against earthquakes?
However the fuss around greenhouse gases created
serious social demand and many innovative technologies
in both car industry and in housekeeping technologies came up.
These new technology do not depend on the carbon fuel,
so it would decrease the general word dependence on the crude
oil ptoduction. that means that the economical position
of the main oil producers would seriously fail. And the main
crude oil producers are Middle Est countries, Russia,
Venezuala and so on - all ones in that range suffer serious
Dutch disease effect. All them are rather socially
retarding and autocratic. The international funds may be
used as those natural resources. Just like the exploiting of
those resources needs few labour and social structure
modernisation, so do them. Instead their distribution
causes the development of the destructive position
of poor depressed victim as it happened with the
Palestinians.
As for oil dependence - it is decreasing too since
recently huge stores of schale gas had been discovered. Ie
they were discovered long ago but for long time they
were quite useless for the extraction technology was not
known. Just recently this technology had been developed.
For housekeeping in China new methane production and using
technologies have been developing as well. So even that
problem is more or less solving.
However beside those two spheres there are still
aviation and overseas transport, saynig nothing on space
programs. They could not do without oil... So on the one
hand these “green”technologies development would
decrease the oil-gas prices and by this it would
influence the producers' ecomonics. However it would not
completely break the word dependence on those counties,
so on the other hand it may even increase the Dutch
disease post-effect by increasing ideological isolation of
failed states by their elit. that isolation ensure their
position. In order to go on keepimg that
situation the elite would play on ideological
differences and on the indigenisation effect – trough the use
of Hive psichology effects.
The evolution of Russian society culture and history
gives perfect example to that, so if being free of ideology
effect and having interest and a lot of time for
analising the civilisation history one may easily make the
same conclusions I had come to.
The
main innovation is that due to some peculiarities of H
Sapiens,this species evolution presents the tranfer in its
evolution not just to new kind of evolution - ie the
social one, - but to new kind of information carriers as well.
These carriers are much more flexible unlike the DNA-ones. So
that evolution may perfectly be managed . Globalisation
is part of human evolution process. Currently it
requires serious social changes required certain social
changes.